Forbes has published two back-to-back articles about the analysis of retired Navy captain and political scientist Bradford Dismukes titled "To Defeat China In War, Strangle Its Economy" and "If Russia Invades Europe, NATO Could Sweep The Seas Of Russian Merchant Ships".
The articles were authored by a man named David Axe, who is my new favorite small-time war propagandist because he's so desperate to be recognized for his imperialist stenography that he often approaches his spin jobs in an informatively unskillful and ham-fisted way. The best one I've found so far is this 2013 piece about the time he spent with the "rebels" of Syria, who he takes great pains to assure us are not terrorists or extremists but brave freedom fighters who'd successfully "liberated" large swathes of Syrian territory.
Each of the two Dismukes articles focus on how the same military strategy can be employed against the first- and second-most powerful nations which have resisted absorption into the US-centralized power alliance, namely China and Russia respectively. They explain how "a coordinated effort by the whole of the U.S. government and its closest allies" can be used to "strangle" those nations economically via blockades which cut them off from trade and resources should the time come for an aggressive confrontation, thus minimizing the need for direct military combat.
"Cutting off China from its trading partners and sources of oil, natural gas and other resources could be the best, and least costly, way for the United States to defeat China in a major war," Axe explains.
"In wartime, the U.S. and allied fleets could blockade Russian sea trade, putting a choke-hold on the Russian economy that could force Moscow to end the war on terms favorable to Washington and its friends," he writes.
Unspoken by Axe and Dismukes is the fact that both Russia and China are nuclear-armed nations, so direct hot warfare is something the US power alliance would want to avoid anyway.
Indeed, the articles present a vision for confrontation with Russia and China that is not just realistic but probable, and not just probable but currently underway. This is exactly the reason the empire-like network of allies loosely centralized around the United States has been so forceful about controlling crucial resources like oil on the world stage; it's not so that the US can use the oil itself, it's so it can control who will have access to it. It's also why they've been working to surround both China and Russia militarily via military bases and NATO expansionism.
These are the chess pieces that have been put in place during the slow-motion third world war between the US-centralized empire and the governments which haven't yet been absorbed into it. In order to avoid nuclear conflict the imperialists know they've got to be patient and strategic, which they've learned can lead them to victory from past experience in the previous cold war against the Soviet Union. The fact that they're imperiling the life of every organism on our planet in the meantime is for them mostly a non-issue.
This is how the US-centralized empire prefers to kill now. Not like a tiger, pouncing on its prey with old-school ground invasions and ripping out the jugular, but more like a python: slow, patient strangulation and suffocation.
That's what you're seeing with the murderous starvation sanctions that have been placed on Iran and Venezuela. With Yemen, where in addition to deadly blockades the Saudis have been deliberate targeting farms, fishing boats, marketplaces, food storage sites and cholera treatment centers with US-assisted airstrikes. With North Korea, where boats full of dead people have been washing up on Japan’s shores because fishermen get stuck out at sea trying to catch food since they can’t afford enough fuel to get back to shore, which former Secretary of State Rex Tillerson attributed to US sanctions. With Gaza, where people are being deprived of an adequate amount of nutrients due to an Israeli blockade designed to “put the Palestinians on a diet”.
It's a slow, suffocating strategy which only works if you're the side in power, the side with all the resources and all the time in the world, the side which knows it can just relax and wait for the other side to starve to death. Not with the "shock and awe" invasions of the Bush era, but with sanctions, blockades, coups, psyops, CIA-backed uprisings and the arming of opposition forces like David Axe's "rebel" friends.
This is one of many reasons you can be dismissive of any Trump supporter who defends their president by arguing that he "hasn't started any new wars". What they mean is he hasn't launched any tiger-style old school ground invasions. He's still attacking and killing with python-style sanctions and blockades and imperiling the world with dangerous new cold war escalations. He's still continuing the slow-motion third world war. And we may be certain that if Biden wins he will do the same.
When it first rose to power with the Bush administration the neoconservative ideology of doing whatever it takes to ensure continued US unipolar hegemony was widely criticized. Now it’s the bipartisan beltway consensus, and if you question it you’re smeared as freakish and suspicious. You never even hear the word neoconservative or neocon anymore in mainstream US discourse, not because it went away but because it became the normalized default mainstream worldview.
And while all these imperialist psychopaths are waving literal armageddon weapons around in the name of an imaginary god named unipolarism, we're also hurtling toward ecosystemic collapse and any number of other potential armageddon-level events. We've got to turn away from this trajectory as a species and begin collaborating with each other and with our ecosystem if we are to turn this disaster around.
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